It hardly seemed the day for it, but Europe's political leaders enjoyed the red carpet treatment on Wednesday as they arrived for yet another crisis summit.
Apparently Wednesday night's meeting was the 14th such emergency conference in
21 months – about one every six weeks.
As they climbed out of their limousines in Brussels, our leaders adopted the "summit
face" for the benefit of reporters, photographers and television crews.
The summit face has been well and truly rehearsed by now and the best offer
a subtle smile to offer a hint of reassurance but combine that with a set
jawline plus frowning eyebrows to reflect the seriousness of the situation.
It's quite hard to pull off convincingly, although after 14 attempts most
practitioners have got to grips with at least a basic version. David Cameron
has quickly become a leading exponent, showing others how it should be done
– this has not always gone down well with his euro counterparts such as
Nicolas Sarkozy, who believes Anglo Saxon upstarts such as Cameron shouldn't
be trying to show him what's what in Europe.
But while the summit face has more or less been accepted as standard by
leaders, the summit haircut still divides opinion. That's going to take a
bit longer to sort out. However, this is politics. An Oscar night feel to
proceedings at least added an element of drama to proceedings and, if you
wind back 18 months to two years, progress is being made, however
infuriating its stop-go nature.
Back then Greek bail-outs, a European Financial Stability Fund, and bank
write-downs of as much as 50pc of Greek sovereign debt were being laughed
out of court within the eurozone countries. Paris, Berlin, Rome, even Athens
were in full denial. Now such measures are reality and lurching towards
completion. Arguments between banks and the European Union over writedowns
appear to centre on important technicalities, but technicalities all the
same, such as future insurance arrangements for new bond issues.
Ultimately the eurozone is a muddle, always has been, and it muddles through
as a result. Wednesday night was another staging post along the way towards
an inevitably ugly resolution, albeit a temporary one. Until all eurozone
members are forced to comply with the same fiscal disciplines so that credit
ratings and bond yields converge there is nothing to stop the problems of
the past two years re-emerging. Similarly, the imbalances within the
eurozone will have to be addressed, as they must throughout the world, and
the lack of competitiveness of nations such as Greece solved in a meaningful
way. However, adjusting costs, such as wages, while maintaining a fixed
exchange rate is a painful process resulting in cuts, unemployment and the
civil unrest that has become an Athenian way of life.
Don't be surprised if key elements of the eurozone rescue plan are still being
discussed at the G20 meeting in Cannes a week on Thursday as the sticking
plaster begins to be applied.
Longer-term, however, the fundamentals of the eurozone construct are still flawed. The fault lines remain. And that's not yet on the agenda of any summit.
Whether it was in the UK, US or indeed in Europe, the good news was very much outweighing the bad. Corporate earnings in America are coming in strong and beating estimates, albeit estimates that had been previously lowered.
Big names such as Boeing reported strong performances. Here, GlaxoSmithKline returned to sales growth. In Germany SAP, the world's leading supplier of business management software, reported higher sales and a stable outlook as its corporate customers use their financial stability to innovate and grow through investment in improved operational systems. The still improving corporate scene is not all being driven by emerging markets either.
US demand for durable goods rose in September by the highest amount in six months, while purchases of new houses rose more than 5pc, way ahead of expectations as the over-supplied housing market begins to clear thanks to lower asking prices. The world's biggest economy, by some distance, is showing signs of improvement.
Of course it's patchy, but it's wrong to say it's all bad news for employers.
That's said, there is no margin of error for policy makers. October's CBI industrial trends survey published on Wednesday showed output expectations and optimism among UK manufacturers falling to a point consistent with previous recessions. Business leaders can hang on for only so long to improvements they've engineered. While earnings surprise on the upside, the risk now is that politics will continue to disappoint on the downside.
damian.reece@telegraph.co.uk
From: http://www.telegraph.co.uk
Longer-term, however, the fundamentals of the eurozone construct are still flawed. The fault lines remain. And that's not yet on the agenda of any summit.
But it's not all doom and gloom
While political leaders were having a difficult day addressing their respective parliaments in Berlin, Rome and London, business leaders elsewhere in the world were having a pretty good day, on the whole.Whether it was in the UK, US or indeed in Europe, the good news was very much outweighing the bad. Corporate earnings in America are coming in strong and beating estimates, albeit estimates that had been previously lowered.
Big names such as Boeing reported strong performances. Here, GlaxoSmithKline returned to sales growth. In Germany SAP, the world's leading supplier of business management software, reported higher sales and a stable outlook as its corporate customers use their financial stability to innovate and grow through investment in improved operational systems. The still improving corporate scene is not all being driven by emerging markets either.
US demand for durable goods rose in September by the highest amount in six months, while purchases of new houses rose more than 5pc, way ahead of expectations as the over-supplied housing market begins to clear thanks to lower asking prices. The world's biggest economy, by some distance, is showing signs of improvement.
Of course it's patchy, but it's wrong to say it's all bad news for employers.
That's said, there is no margin of error for policy makers. October's CBI industrial trends survey published on Wednesday showed output expectations and optimism among UK manufacturers falling to a point consistent with previous recessions. Business leaders can hang on for only so long to improvements they've engineered. While earnings surprise on the upside, the risk now is that politics will continue to disappoint on the downside.
damian.reece@telegraph.co.uk
From: http://www.telegraph.co.uk
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